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It wasn’t your imagination: US experienced warmest March ever

As record temperatures swept through the Midwest and trees bloomed early across the Northeast, lots of talk focused on what an unusually warm start spring was having. The folks at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration have now crunched the numbers, and found that it wasn't just unusually warm—March was bizarrely hot. With 15,000 record high temperatures set in the US, it was far and away the warmest March in the nation's history, and only a single month—January of 2006—was as far off from the monthly average.

Only one of the 48 contiguous states (Washington) was below normal, and a huge slice down the center of the country was bathed in bright red in NOAA's map, indicative of record high temperatures. The heatwave was partly responsible for moving the first quarter of the year into the top slot of the US record books. The high temperatures also kicked off an unusually early spring cluster of tornadoes in the Midwest.

Neither NASA nor NOAA have managed to do the global monthly averages yet, so it's not clear if our experience was shared by much of the rest of the planet (the US occupies a relatively small fraction of its surface). So far this year, the global means have been pretty mundane. They're above last century's average, but not by a lot, and every month has been above that average since early 1994.

NOAA indicates that it was a specific weather pattern that pushed heat into the central US. One of the key drivers of global temperature, the tropical Pacific's surface temperatures, remain in a cooler, La NiƱa state, so it's unlikely the rest of the world shared in our warmth.

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Fossil raindrops tell us a fair bit about ancient atmosphere

When you hear about geologists studying records of Earth’s distant past, you probably picture something substantial—layers of rock or mineralized fossils. Raindrops are unlikely to come to mind. But that’s exactly what the authors of a new paper in Nature studied—2.7 billion year old imprints of raindrops.

There’s a long-standing mystery about the climate of the early Earth known as the “faint young Sun paradox." The Sun burned about 20 percent less brightly in its youth, which should have put the Earth below the freezing point of water. The rock record begs to differ, however. There’s plenty of evidence for liquid oceans on the Earth, and indicators point to a planet even warmer than the present day. So what explains the disparity?

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How IBM’s Deep Thunder delivers "hyper-local" forecasts 3-1/2 days out

Predicting the weather accurately is a hard enough computing problem. Predicting the weather for a specific location down to a square kilometer—and how it will affect the people and infrastructure there—is a problem of a much different sort. And it's that sort of "hyper-local" forecasting that IBM’s Deep Thunder aims to provide. Unlike the long-term strategic weather forecasts that many companies rely on to plan business, Deep Thunder is focused on much more short-term forecasts, predicting everything from where flooding and downed power lines will likely occur to where winds will be too high for parade balloons up to 84 hours into the future.

IBM executives hope Deep Thunder, which has been in development since 1996, will become a must-have tool for local governments, utility companies, and other organizations with weather-sensitive needs. By changing how weather data is displayed from the traditional meteorological map to a more manager-friendly approach tailored to the needs of a government or utility company, IBM researchers are hoping to get customers to buy into weather modeling as part of their operations management.

So far, major utilities and other commercial customers aren't biting. But the company has signed on at least two public-sector customers so far who are piloting their own Deep Thunder systems. One of them is the City of Rio de Janeiro, where officials are looking to beef up their emergency services preparedness in advance of the 2014 FIFA World Cup and 2016 Olympics.

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Weather fronts of the world unite: tornadoes demand the weekend off

One of the classic sci-fi doomsday machines is the weather manipulator. What better way to bend the world to your will than taking control of the weather? It seems, however, that labor regulations may have beaten mad scientists to the punch.

Past studies have identified weekly cycles in a variety of weather phenomena, including rainfall, lightning, and storm heights. It’s called the weekend effect, and it’s thought to be be linked to the industrial air pollution associated with the five-day work week, though there has been a lot of discussion about the mechanics of that connection. These aren’t global analyses—many of these studies have focused on the southeastern United States during the summer months, though similar trends have been identified in other regions, as well. There’s a good reason for this. It seems that warm, moist conditions are a pre-requisite for the effect to manifest.

A new study published recently in the Journal of Geophysical Research adds to the list, finding strong evidence for weekly cycles in tornadoes and hail storms, and discusses the most likely mechanism behind them.

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